Treasury Rout Unnerves Traders as Stocks Retreat: Markets Wrap

(Bloomberg) — Treasuries deepened a selloff, driving the 10-year yield to a nine-month high, and equities slumped as investors grew increasingly worried about rising borrowing costs.

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European stocks fell 0.8% and US equity futures contracts signaled that the S&P 500 will extend yesterday’s losses. The dollar strengthened for a fourth day. Bill Ackman, founder and chief executive officer of Pershing Square Capital Management, added to the bearish mood by announcing he’s shorting 30-year Treasuries as a hedge on the impact of higher long-term rates on stocks.

The rapid rise in Treasury yields over the past four days has “cast a shadow” across risk assets and investors will be focused on the bond market until the US releases its quarterly financing report next week, wrote strategists at ING Groep NV. Today’s economic data, including jobless claims and a reading on the US services industry, will also be closely watched for any signs that the American economy is running hotter than expected. Apple Inc. and Inc. are due to report later in the day.

“Given the recent rally in US stocks, especially in the Nasdaq, there’s a lot of sensitivity to rising yields,” said Gerry Fowler, head of European equity strategy and global derivative strategy at UBS Group AG. “In Europe, a lackluster earnings season is also weighing on the outlook. So many are taking the opportunity to implement a more bearish positioning.”

Read More: Fitch Downgrade Lays Out Bear Case for Longer-Dated Treasuries

The 10-year Treasury yield increased five basis points to 4.13%. The selling has come on the heels of robust US economic data and news that the Treasury will issue $103 billion of securities next week, slightly more than forecast. The decision by Fitch Ratings to strip the US of its AAA credit ranking has also put a spotlight on the country’s booming fiscal deficits.

“The US downgrade doesn’t have any direct impact on markets, but what’s happened is there’s been a lot of concurrent news,” Fowler at UBS said. “Treasury supply is going to pick up. And the Bank of Japan’s policy change has also removed the floor on bonds and that’s led to rising yields.”

Long-term debt looks “overbought” from a supply and demand perspective and it’s hard to see how the market will cope with the increased issuance “without materially higher rates,” Ackman said in a post on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter.

Read More: Ackman Says He’s Short 30-Year Treasuries as Supply Ramps Up

In Europe, the Stoxx 600 Index headed for the steepest three-day retreat since March. Infineon Technologies AG plunged as much as 12% after disappointing forecasts from the German chipmaker. Deutsche Lufthansa AG dropped amid concerns over debt and higher costs.

Among other individual movers, PayPal Holdings Inc. fell in US premarket trading after the digital payments company’s transaction revenue fell short of estimates. Qualcomm Inc. slid as much as 8% after the chipmaker gave a revenue outlook seen as weak by analysts.

The Bank of England is also due to release its rate decision today. Traders are leaning toward a 25 basis points increase, but haven’t fully ruled out a 50-point hike as policymakers seek to subdue UK inflation that’s four times the official target. There’s also speculation the BOE will surprise economists by signaling an increase to the pace of bond sales as it looks to reduce its outsized footprint in the market.

“The moderation in UK consumer prices has lagged behind the rest of Europe, which may prompt the BOE to signal that it will maintain a hawkish stance in the remaining months of the year,” economists at Rand Merchant Bank in Johannesburg said in a note.

In commodities, iron ore slipped back below $100 a ton as investors questioned China’s resolve to revive growth with steel-intensive stimulus and the nation’s biggest group of mills called for curbs on trading. Futures in Singapore lost as much as 4.3%, to head for the sixth weekly drop in the past seven.

Elsewhere, the Bank of Japan came into the market for the second time this week to slow gains in benchmark sovereign bond yields, underscoring its determination to curb sharp moves in rates even as it makes room for them to rise. The yen strengthened against all its major peers, adding 0.3%.

Key events this week:

  • Bank of England rate decision, Thursday

  • US initial jobless claims, productivity, factory orders, ISM Services, Thursday

  • Eurozone retail sales, Friday

  • US unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:


  • The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.8% as of 11 a.m. London time

  • S&P 500 futures fell 0.2%

  • Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.2%

  • Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.2%

  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 0.6%

  • The MSCI Emerging Markets Index fell 0.4%


  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%

  • The euro was little changed at $1.0932

  • The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 142.92 per dollar

  • The offshore yuan rose 0.2% to 7.1847 per dollar

  • The British pound fell 0.3% to $1.2669


  • Bitcoin was little changed at $29,123.54

  • Ether fell 0.4% to $1,833.73


  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced six basis points to 4.14%

  • Germany’s 10-year yield advanced four basis points to 2.57%

  • Britain’s 10-year yield advanced two basis points to 4.42%


  • Brent crude fell 0.5% to $82.96 a barrel

  • Spot gold rose 0.1% to $1,936.39 an ounce

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

–With assistance from Richard Henderson and Lynn Thomasson.

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